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Modigilani, F. (1982) “Debt, Dividend Policy, Inflation and Market Valuation” The Journal of Finance, 37, pp 225-275.Mann, S.V., “The Dividend Puzzle: A Progress Report,” Quarterly Journal of Business and Economics, 1989, pp. 3-35.Miller, Merton and Franco Modigliani, “Dividend Policy, Growth and the Valuation of Shares,” Journal of Business 34, 1961, pp. 411-433.Miller, Merton and Kevin Rock, “Dividend Policy Under Asymmetric Information,” Journal of Finance 40, 1985, pp. 1031- 1052.Nnamdi Asika (1991) Research Methodology in the Behavioral Scinces Longman Nig. Plc. Pp27-29 and 158-165.Perfect, Steven and Kenneth Wiles, “Alternative Constructions of Tobin’s Q: An empirical Comparison,” Journal of Empirical Finance 1, 1994, pp. 313-341.Peterson, Pamela, “Event Studies: A Review of Issues and Methodologies,” Quarterly Journal of Business and Economics 1989, pp. 36-66.
Announcements of dividend decreases generate abnormal negative security returns. Drops in share prices occur because dividends have a signaling effect. According to the signaling effect mangers have private and superior information about future prospects and choose a dividend level to signal that private information. Such a calculation, on the part of the management of the firm may lead to a stable dividend payout ratio.Companies generally prefer a stable dividend payout ratio because the shareholders expect it and reveal a preference for it. Shareholders may want a stable rate of dividend payment for a variety of reasons. Risk adverse shareholders would be willing to invest only in those companies which pay high current returns on shares. The class of investors, which includes pensioners and other small savers, are partly or fully dependent on dividend to meet their day-to-day needs. Similarly, educational institutions and charity firms prefer stable dividends, because they will not be able to carry on their current operations otherwise. Such investors would therefore, prefer companies, which pay a regular dividend every year.This clustering of stockholders in companies with dividend policies that match their preference is called clientele effect. The relationship of dividend policy and stock price movement is very natural and strong and the same has been analyzed and presented in this research with quantitative analysis and questionnaire analysis.
The volatility of share price on the other hand is the systemic risk faced by investors who possess ordinary shares investment Guo (2002). Investors are by nature risk averse, and the volatility of their investments is of importance to them because it is a measure of the level of risk they are exposed to. The UK Stock Market, which cannot be classified as an emerging one, manifest the features of a matured market, with relatively moderate regulations than those of emerging markets of the Africa.Companies realize, also, that investors pay close attention to their dividend returns, and that the riskiness of their investments may affect the valuation of the firm’s shares in the long run. This makes the volatility of stock prices as important to firms as it is to investors. The debate has been whether corporate dividend policy has any relationship with stock price movement. In this connection, this paper is aimed at establishing a relationship between dividend policy and share price volatility with particular focus on the UK Capital Market.
Dividend policy suggests a positive attitude for, it is a deliberate policy to maintain or increase dividend at a certain level with the ultimate aim of sustaining the price of the ordinary shares on the stock exchange. This is because capital markets are not perfect, although shareholders are indifferent between dividend and retained earnings due to market imperfections and uncertainty, but they give a higher value to the current year dividend than the future dividend and capital gains. Thus the payment of dividend has a strong influence on the market price of the shares. Management might maintain a dividend level even at the expense of liquidity or forced into borrowing to do so. With this approach it holds that dividends, on the other hand, are desirable from the shareholders point of view, as increasing their current wealth and consequently dividend level determines share price as well as indicates the prospect of profitability of the firm. On the other hand, profit retention policy tends to suggest a more passive residual attitude towards dividend, that is, a passive attitude towards retention.Dividend pay out reduces the amount of earnings to be retained in the firm and affect the total amount of internal financing. When dividends are treated as a financing decision, the net earning of the firm may be viewed as a significant source of financing the growth of the firm. Dividends paid to shareholders represent a distribution of earnings that cannot be profitably reinvested by the firm. The approach to dividend is viewed merely as a residual decision. This theory is known as the residual theory of dividend and was first proposed by Miller and Modiliani in 1961. Investor prefer to have the firm retain and reinvest earnings rather than pay them out in dividend if the return on the investment earnings exceeds the rate of return the investors could themselves obtain on other comparative investment. Otherwise, the investors prefer dividend.
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